ᱫᱷᱟᱯ ᱫᱷᱟᱯ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ · ᱫᱷᱟᱯ ᱫᱷᱟᱯ · 7 ᱢᱤᱱᱤᱴ

ᱫᱷᱟᱯ ᱫᱷᱟᱯ: ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ

ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱨᱮ $140, ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ 13–18 ᱨᱮ $50, ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱨᱮ $10: ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ $200, 25 ᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣ᱾ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱡᱮᱢᱥ ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ᱾

ᱠᱷᱟᱴᱚ ᱛᱮᱞᱟ

ᱡᱮᱢᱥ ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ ᱛᱮ ᱠᱤᱨᱤᱧᱚᱜ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 20 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱢᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ᱾ $80 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱡᱤᱛ, $100 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱮ ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ, $160 ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, ᱟᱨ 1–12 ᱨᱮ $200 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ᱾ ᱥᱩᱫᱽ +$620, ᱫᱚᱨᱚᱢ ᱦᱚᱸ $40 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ ᱯᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱡᱚᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ $200 ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱪᱟᱞᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ
$200
ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣ
37 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 25
p(ᱡᱤᱛ)
67.6%
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ
−$5.41

ᱡᱚᱡᱚᱢ

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ: 19–36 ᱨᱮ $140, ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱᱵᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱵᱟᱫ ᱯᱟᱹᱱᱛᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 5:1᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱥᱤᱡᱮᱸ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → 13–18 ᱨᱮ $50, ᱡᱤᱨᱚᱪᱟᱠᱟᱡᱤᱨᱚᱢᱤᱫᱜᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱨᱭᱟᱹᱲ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱠᱚᱵᱷᱟᱨᱟ; ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱩᱞ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, 0᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ $10᱾ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱮᱞ $140 ᱮᱢᱟ ᱟᱨ $60 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ: +$80᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱮᱞ $250 ᱮᱢᱟ ᱟᱨ $150 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ: +$100᱾ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ $350 ᱮᱢᱟ ᱟᱨ $190 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ: +$160᱾ 1–12 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱱ ᱮᱞ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ: −$200᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱱ ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ −1/37᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ (18×80 + 6×100 + 160 − 12×200)/37 = −$5.41, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ $200 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70% ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱦᱟᱨᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ

ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ 1–10

19 27 7 33 15 0 23 31 11 29᱾ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ: +480 +100 +160 −400 = +$340᱾ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱵᱮᱞᱮᱱᱥ +$340, ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ $200 ᱠᱤᱱ ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣ ᱠᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ 6 ᱨᱮ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ $160 ᱮ ᱮᱢ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱮᱠᱮᱱ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱜᱮ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱫᱚ ᱜᱟᱛᱮ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱵᱩᱡᱷᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱮᱱᱟ᱾

ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱮᱞᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴᱥᱩᱫᱽᱵᱮᱞᱮᱱᱥ
119ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ+$80+$80
227ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ+$80+$160
371–12−$200−$40
433ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ+$80+$40
515ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ+$100+$140
60ᱡᱤᱨᱚ+$160+$300
723ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ+$80+$380
831ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ+$80+$460
9111–12−$200+$260
1029ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ+$80+$340
ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭᱟᱜ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ: ᱵᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱚᱱᱰᱮ $10 ᱪᱤᱯ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱫᱚ $160 ᱞᱟᱵᱷ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞᱟ᱾

ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ 11–20

5 22 36 14 20 2 28 34 17 25᱾ ᱯᱟᱦᱤᱞ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱵᱮᱞᱮᱱᱥ ᱫᱚ +$280 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱟᱹᱜᱩ ᱠᱮᱫᱟ; ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱯᱮ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ +$620 ᱨᱮ ᱵᱚᱸᱫ ᱠᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ: 12 ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ, 3 ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ, 1 ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, 4 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ᱾ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱥᱩᱫᱽ −$108 ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ; ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱨᱮ +$620, ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ 1.2 ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱚᱜᱚ ᱢᱩᱞ; ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱱ ᱥᱟᱦᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱧᱤᱫᱟᱹ᱾

ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱟᱨ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱟᱨᱮᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱛᱩᱞᱟᱹ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
+$5,500$0−$2,000+$1,640−$1,0000125250375500ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
1,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ × 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · ᱵᱮᱸᱜᱚᱱᱤ p10/p25/p75/p90, ᱯᱷᱤᱠᱟ ᱞᱤᱞ ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ, 82 ᱯᱷᱤᱠᱟ ᱱᱢᱩᱱᱟ · ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱣᱟᱱᱴᱟᱭᱤᱞ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱪᱟᱨᱴ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱛᱮ ᱢᱟᱣᱩᱥ ᱥᱟᱦᱮᱫ ᱯᱮ
  • p10 −$2,000
  • p25 −$2,000
  • ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ −$2,000
  • p75 −$2,000
  • p90 +$780
1,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ × 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · y ᱟᱠᱥ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱟᱨᱥᱮᱱᱴᱟᱭᱤᱞ 1–99 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ (ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ −$2,000 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ +$8,860) · 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · $200 ᱢᱩᱞ · ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ
25 ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ $200 ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ: ᱯᱮ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ $80–$160 ᱡᱤᱛ, ᱯᱮ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ $200 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ᱾ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ −$5.41 ᱛᱮ ᱞᱟᱛᱟᱨᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵ

ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ $4,000᱾ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱜᱩᱬ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ; ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → $108᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ $135, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ $605; +$620 ᱥᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱨᱮ ᱧᱤᱫᱟᱹ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱧᱤᱫᱟᱹ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱟᱨᱟᱜᱵᱟᱡᱤᱟᱨᱟᱜ18 ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱨᱩᱡᱽ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ $200 ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱟᱨ ᱚᱥᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱸᱴᱟᱣ (ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ σ ≈ $200) ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ: ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱟᱨᱟᱜ/ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ, ᱵᱤᱡᱳᱲ/ᱡᱳᱲ, ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ/ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ᱾ 18 ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 1:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱜᱷᱮᱨᱟᱣ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱯᱟᱥᱱᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱟᱯᱲᱟᱣ᱾ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱹᱲᱛᱤ, ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ ᱥᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱟᱨ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱡᱤᱛᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ ᱮᱫᱟ

ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ −1/37 ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ, ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱢᱮᱥᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱜᱩᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ: 67.6% ᱡᱤᱛ ᱦᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱭᱩᱵ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱵᱩᱡᱷᱟᱹᱣ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱭᱟᱱ 32.4% ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱨᱮ $200 ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱞᱟᱹᱭ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱦᱚᱸ, ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱷᱞᱮᱢᱤᱝ (Fleming) ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱩᱯᱚᱱᱭᱟᱥ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ-ᱟ: ᱩᱱᱤᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱᱵᱟᱡᱤᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ1–12, 13–24 ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ 25–36, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 2:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱮ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱵᱟᱠᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ ᱯᱚᱛᱚᱵ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤ ᱠᱮᱫᱟ᱾

ᱥᱟᱦᱤᱛ ᱨᱮ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ ᱟᱨ ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ

ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱠᱚ

ᱞᱟ ᱯᱟᱨᱛᱟᱡᱽ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭᱟ ᱥᱮ?

ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱨᱮ $140 ᱵᱟᱝ ᱦᱮᱱᱫᱮ ᱮᱠᱮᱱ $70 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱫᱚ +$160 ᱵᱟᱝ ᱦᱮᱱᱫᱮ +$230 ᱥᱩᱫᱽ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾ ᱢᱮᱥᱟ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ 1.8%᱾ ᱵᱮᱥ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱮᱱᱦᱚᱸ ᱱᱮᱜᱮᱴᱤᱵᱷ᱾

$140, $50, $10 ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ?

ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱠᱚ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣᱟ: $80, $100, $160᱾ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱱ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾

ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱥᱮ?

ᱦᱚᱭ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ 25 ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ $200 ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱥᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱪᱷᱟᱣ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ

ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ᱾ ᱯᱮ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱜᱮ᱾

ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ᱾ ᱯᱮ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱜᱮ᱾

ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ

  1. Fleming, I. Casino Royale. Jonathan Cape, 1953᱾ ᱟᱫᱷᱭᱟᱭ 7: ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱮ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣᱟ, ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾
  2. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010᱾ ᱟᱫᱷᱭᱟᱭ 13, ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ᱾
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