ᱫᱷᱟᱯ ᱫᱷᱟᱯ: ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ
ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱨᱮ $140, ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ 13–18 ᱨᱮ $50, ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱨᱮ $10: ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ $200, 25 ᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣ᱾ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱡᱮᱢᱥ ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ᱾

ᱡᱮᱢᱥ ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ ᱛᱮ ᱠᱤᱨᱤᱧᱚᱜ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 20 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱢᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ᱾ $80 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱡᱤᱛ, $100 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱮ ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ, $160 ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, ᱟᱨ 1–12 ᱨᱮ $200 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ᱾ ᱥᱩᱫᱽ +$620, ᱫᱚᱨᱚᱢ ᱦᱚᱸ $40 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ ᱯᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱡᱚᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ $200 ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱪᱟᱞᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾
ᱡᱚᱡᱚᱢ
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ: 19–36 ᱨᱮ $140, ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱᱵᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱵᱟᱫ ᱯᱟᱹᱱᱛᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 5:1᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱥᱤᱡᱮᱸ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → 13–18 ᱨᱮ $50, ᱡᱤᱨᱚᱪᱟᱠᱟᱡᱤᱨᱚᱢᱤᱫᱜᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱨᱭᱟᱹᱲ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱠᱚᱵᱷᱟᱨᱟ; ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱩᱞ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, 0᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ $10᱾ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱮᱞ $140 ᱮᱢᱟ ᱟᱨ $60 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ: +$80᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱮᱞ $250 ᱮᱢᱟ ᱟᱨ $150 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ: +$100᱾ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ $350 ᱮᱢᱟ ᱟᱨ $190 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ: +$160᱾ 1–12 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱱ ᱮᱞ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ: −$200᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱱ ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ −1/37᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ (18×80 + 6×100 + 160 − 12×200)/37 = −$5.41, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ $200 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70% ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱦᱟᱨᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ 1–10
19 27 7 33 15 0 23 31 11 29᱾ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ: +480 +100 +160 −400 = +$340᱾ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱵᱮᱞᱮᱱᱥ +$340, ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ $200 ᱠᱤᱱ ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣ ᱠᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ 6 ᱨᱮ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ $160 ᱮ ᱮᱢ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱮᱠᱮᱱ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱜᱮ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱫᱚ ᱜᱟᱛᱮ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱵᱩᱡᱷᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱮᱱᱟ᱾

ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ 11–20
5 22 36 14 20 2 28 34 17 25᱾ ᱯᱟᱦᱤᱞ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱵᱮᱞᱮᱱᱥ ᱫᱚ +$280 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱟᱹᱜᱩ ᱠᱮᱫᱟ; ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱯᱮ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ +$620 ᱨᱮ ᱵᱚᱸᱫ ᱠᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ: 12 ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ, 3 ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ, 1 ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, 4 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ᱾ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱥᱩᱫᱽ −$108 ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ; ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱨᱮ +$620, ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ 1.2 ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱚᱜᱚ ᱢᱩᱞ; ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱱ ᱥᱟᱦᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱧᱤᱫᱟᱹ᱾
- p10 −$2,000
- p25 −$2,000
- ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ −$2,000
- p75 −$2,000
- p90 +$780
ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵ
ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ $4,000᱾ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱜᱩᱬ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ; ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → $108᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ $135, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ $605; +$620 ᱥᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱨᱮ ᱧᱤᱫᱟᱹ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱧᱤᱫᱟᱹ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱟᱨᱟᱜᱵᱟᱡᱤᱟᱨᱟᱜ18 ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱨᱩᱡᱽ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ $200 ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱟᱨ ᱚᱥᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱸᱴᱟᱣ (ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ σ ≈ $200) ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ: ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱟᱨᱟᱜ/ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ, ᱵᱤᱡᱳᱲ/ᱡᱳᱲ, ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ/ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ᱾ 18 ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 1:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱜᱷᱮᱨᱟᱣ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱯᱟᱥᱱᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱟᱯᱲᱟᱣ᱾ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱹᱲᱛᱤ, ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ ᱥᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱟᱨ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱡᱤᱛᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾
ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ ᱮᱫᱟ
ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱥᱯᱨᱮᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ −1/37 ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ, ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱢᱮᱥᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱜᱩᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ: 67.6% ᱡᱤᱛ ᱦᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱭᱩᱵ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱵᱩᱡᱷᱟᱹᱣ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱭᱟᱱ 32.4% ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱨᱮ $200 ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱞᱟᱹᱭ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱦᱚᱸ, ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱷᱞᱮᱢᱤᱝ (Fleming) ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱩᱯᱚᱱᱭᱟᱥ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ-ᱟ: ᱩᱱᱤᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱚᱸᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱᱵᱟᱡᱤᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ1–12, 13–24 ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ 25–36, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 2:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱮ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱵᱟᱠᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ ᱯᱚᱛᱚᱵ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤ ᱠᱮᱫᱟ᱾
ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱠᱚ
ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱨᱮ $140 ᱵᱟᱝ ᱦᱮᱱᱫᱮ ᱮᱠᱮᱱ $70 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱫᱚ +$160 ᱵᱟᱝ ᱦᱮᱱᱫᱮ +$230 ᱥᱩᱫᱽ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾ ᱢᱮᱥᱟ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ 1.8%᱾ ᱵᱮᱥ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱮᱱᱦᱚᱸ ᱱᱮᱜᱮᱴᱤᱵᱷ᱾
ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱠᱚ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣᱟ: $80, $100, $160᱾ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱱ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾
ᱦᱚᱭ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ 25 ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ $200 ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱥᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱪᱷᱟᱣ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾
ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ

ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ᱾ ᱯᱮ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱜᱮ᱾
ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ
- Fleming, I. Casino Royale.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.