ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ
ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱱᱟ ᱥᱟᱹᱡᱷᱟ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱚᱵᱷᱟᱨᱟ᱾
ᱯᱩᱱ ᱮᱞ, 8:1 ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ᱾ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟᱢᱤᱫ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ, 0 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 1 ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ 0% ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 100%᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱮᱞ: 1/37 = 2.70%᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → 10.81%᱾
ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ?
ᱪᱤᱯᱴᱟᱠᱟᱪᱤᱯᱛᱷᱤᱠ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱪᱤᱱᱦᱟᱹ ᱴᱚᱠᱮᱱ, ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱪᱮᱠ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱜᱷᱟᱨ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱟᱵᱟᱥᱟᱵᱤᱭᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱟᱲᱟᱜ ᱴᱷᱟᱶ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱠᱟ 16-17-19-20᱾ ᱡᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱨᱮ 22 ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨᱵᱟᱡᱤᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱬᱟ ᱥᱟᱡᱷᱟ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 8:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱵᱟᱥᱠᱮᱴᱵᱟᱡᱤᱵᱟᱥᱠᱮᱴᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ: ᱢᱤᱫ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱛᱮ 0, 1, 2, 3, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 8:1᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱯᱟᱦᱤᱞ ᱯᱩᱱ, ᱠᱟᱛᱨ ᱯᱨᱮᱢᱤᱭᱮ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → 0-1-2-3, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱤᱨᱚᱪᱟᱠᱟᱡᱤᱨᱚᱢᱤᱫᱜᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱨᱭᱟᱹᱲ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱠᱚᱵᱷᱟᱨᱟ; ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱩᱞ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, 0᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱟᱨ 1 ᱟᱨ 2 ᱥᱟᱵᱟᱥᱟᱵᱤ ᱴᱷᱟᱶ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱲᱟᱭᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ 8 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ ᱮᱢᱟᱭ᱾ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱲᱟᱜ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤ; ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱮ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱯᱞᱤᱴᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱯᱞᱤᱴᱵᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱵᱟᱫ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 17:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ ᱮᱢᱚᱜ-ᱟ?
ᱱᱤᱭᱟᱭ ᱚᱰᱥ ᱫᱚ 8.25 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱠᱟᱱᱟ; ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱫᱚ 8 ᱜᱮ ᱮᱢᱟᱭ᱾ ᱡᱤᱛ $10 ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ $80 ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲ ᱮᱢᱟᱭ᱾ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ 37 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ: ᱯᱩᱱ ᱡᱤᱛ (+$320), 33 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ (−$330), ᱥᱩᱫᱽ −$10᱾
ᱥᱣᱚᱵᱷᱟᱵ
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱩᱞᱟᱹᱲ ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱦᱚᱨ: ᱮᱱᱦᱚᱸ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱚᱦᱚᱫ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱᱴᱟᱠᱟᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱᱡᱤᱛ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲᱟ, ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ “X ᱨᱮ 1” ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱨᱚᱲᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱥᱟᱶ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱵᱟᱡᱤᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱡᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ: ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ, ᱥᱯᱞᱤᱴ, ᱥᱴᱨᱤᱴ, ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ, ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱡᱷᱟᱞᱟ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱟᱨᱮ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱤᱛ᱾ “ᱤᱧᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱜᱷᱮᱨᱟ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱠᱚᱵᱷᱟᱨ” ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱟᱹᱫᱚᱛ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱜᱮ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱣᱟᱡᱟᱸ ᱫᱩ ᱡᱮᱨᱳFR · ᱥᱮᱠᱴᱚᱨᱣᱟᱡᱟᱸ ᱫᱩ ᱡᱮᱨᱳ“ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱟᱲᱚᱥᱤ”: ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ 22 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 25 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱜᱮᱞᱮᱭᱟᱭ ᱮᱞ, ᱟᱨᱮ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱛᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱱᱟᱢᱵᱚᱨ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ 25-26-28-29 ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭᱟ᱾
ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱥᱯᱞᱤᱴ
16-17-19-20 ᱨᱮ $10 ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱨ $5 ᱥᱯᱞᱤᱴ (16-17 ᱟᱨ 19-20) ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ: ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱚᱵᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱨᱮ $80 ᱡᱤᱛ ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲ ᱮᱢᱟᱭ᱾ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱵᱟᱧᱪᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱥᱟᱱᱟᱢ ᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱜᱮ ᱯᱷᱟᱨᱟᱠ ᱧᱮᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾
ᱟᱢᱮᱨᱤᱠᱟᱱ ᱠᱟᱛᱷᱟ
ᱰᱚᱵᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴᱥᱟᱡ ᱥᱟᱢᱟᱱᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱪᱷᱟᱯᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱡᱟᱹᱞᱤ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ, ᱯᱷᱮᱞᱴ, ᱠᱟᱯᱲᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ 0-00-1-2-3 ᱫᱚ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱴᱷᱟᱶ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ 6.6 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱱᱤᱭᱟᱭ ᱚᱰᱥ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞ ᱨᱮ 6 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱜᱮ ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ ᱮᱢᱟᱭ: 7.89% ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱱ ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱷᱟᱨᱟᱯ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ 8 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱨᱮ ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱥᱠᱮᱴ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ 2.70% ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱠᱚ
ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱴᱩᱯᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱯᱩᱱᱟᱹᱝ ᱜᱷᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱵ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤ᱾ 1-2-4-5 ᱫᱚ ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ; 1-3-4-6 ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱦᱩᱵᱟᱹᱦᱩ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ: 37 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 4, 8 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ᱾
ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱴᱩᱯᱩᱞ ᱥᱟᱹᱡᱷᱟ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱮᱞ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱡᱟᱦᱱᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾
ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.