ᱵᱟᱡᱤ · ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ · ᱯᱞᱮᱸ
ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ
ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ, ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ 2.70% ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱥᱟᱶ᱾
ᱥᱟᱵ ᱮᱫᱟ
1 / 37
ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ
2.70%
ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ
35:1
ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ
2.70%
$1 ᱯᱤᱪᱷᱤ EV
−$0.027
$1 ᱯᱤᱪᱷᱤ SD
5.84
ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ · ᱩᱫᱟᱦᱟᱨᱚᱬ: 17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
2:1
2:1
2:1
1 ᱱᱚᱢᱵᱚᱨ 12
2 ᱱᱚᱢᱵᱚᱨ 12
3 ᱱᱚᱢᱵᱚᱨ 12
1–18
ᱡᱳᱲ
ᱟᱨᱟᱜ
ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ
ᱵᱤᱡᱳᱲ
19–36
ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ · 25 ᱟᱨ 34 ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱨᱮ
ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ ᱟᱨ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ
37 ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱤᱛᱚᱜ-ᱟ: 1/37, ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ 2.70%᱾ ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱫᱚ 35:1 ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ 37 ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱱᱤᱭᱟᱭ ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ ᱫᱚ 36:1 ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ; ᱚᱱᱟ ᱟᱫ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱜᱮ ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
p(ᱡᱤᱛ) = 1/37 = 0.0270
$1 ᱯᱤᱪᱷᱤ EV = (1/37)(35) − (36/37)(1) = −1/37 = −$0.0270
$1 ᱯᱤᱪᱷᱤ EV = (1/37)(35) − (36/37)(1) = −1/37 = −$0.0270
ᱩᱫᱟᱦᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ
ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ17 ᱨᱮ $10
17 ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ ᱠᱷᱟᱱ (1/37)+$350 ᱡᱤᱛ, ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲᱚᱜ-ᱟ
ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱱᱟᱜ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ ᱠᱷᱟᱱ (36/37)−$10
ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ−$0.27
ᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥ
ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱨᱮ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱜᱮ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱟᱥᱱᱟᱣ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱰᱚᱞᱟᱨ ᱯᱤᱪᱷᱤ, ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱟᱦᱟ 5.84, ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ 1.00᱾ $10 ᱥᱟᱶ 100 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ, ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱛᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ±$100 ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ; ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱛᱮ ±$584 ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱨᱮ᱾
ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ
5.84
ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ (4)
2.84
ᱟᱨᱟᱜ (18)
1.00
ᱜᱩᱱ ᱠᱚ
- ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱫᱚ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ; ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱫᱚ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ 35:1 ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱛᱮ ᱟᱨᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾
- ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱛᱟᱺᱜᱤ ᱫᱚ 37 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱛᱟᱺᱜᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱭᱢᱟ ᱦᱚᱲ ᱩᱭᱦᱟᱹᱨ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ: 37 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 36% ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
- ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹ ᱟᱭᱢᱟ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾
- ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱨᱮ ᱯᱞᱮᱸ ᱢᱮᱱᱛᱮ ᱠᱚ ᱨᱚᱲᱟ᱾
ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ
ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱚᱥᱟᱨ ᱯᱟᱥᱱᱟᱣ ᱥᱟᱶ᱾