ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ · ᱯᱚᱡᱤᱴᱤᱵᱷ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ · 7 ᱢᱤᱱᱤᱴ

ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱜᱽᱨᱟᱭᱤᱸᱰ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ

ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱜᱽᱨᱟᱭᱤᱸᱰ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱵᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ, ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ +1 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱛᱷᱤᱨ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾

ᱠᱷᱟᱴᱚ ᱛᱮᱞᱟ

ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱜᱽᱨᱟᱭᱤᱸᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱞᱟᱦᱟᱭ, ᱥᱟᱢᱵᱷᱟᱞ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱞᱟᱠᱷᱭᱚ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭᱟ᱾ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ, ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱜᱷᱟᱴᱛᱤᱴᱟᱠᱟᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱜᱷᱟᱴᱛᱤᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱪᱩᱴ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱞᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱧᱩᱨ᱾ ᱢᱮᱠᱥᱤᱢᱩᱢ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱜᱷᱟᱴᱛᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱧᱩᱨ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱢᱟᱯ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ, ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ 2.70% ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ᱾

ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ
+1 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ (ᱡᱩᱫᱤ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱱᱤᱛ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ +1 ᱵᱟᱝ)
ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ
ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ
ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱞᱟᱠᱷᱭᱚ
+1 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ
ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ
2.70%

ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱛᱮ ᱥᱮᱱ ᱯᱮ

ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ᱾ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱮᱫᱟ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱪᱚᱠᱨᱚ ᱫᱚ +1 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ +1 ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱱᱟᱶᱟ ᱪᱚᱠᱨᱚ ᱮᱦᱚᱵᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾

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ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ1ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱪᱚᱠᱨᱚ0ᱱᱤᱛᱚᱜ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ0ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ0

ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱩᱞ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱜᱽᱨᱟᱭᱤᱸᱰ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭ-ᱟ?

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴᱴᱟᱠᱟᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱵᱮᱵᱷᱟᱨ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱠᱚ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱛᱮ ᱵᱩᱡᱷᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱡᱮᱢᱚᱱ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱩ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱲᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱵᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ +1 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱛᱤᱥ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱟᱞᱚᱢ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ +1 ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱱᱟᱣᱟ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ: ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱨᱟᱹᱠᱟᱹᱵ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱮᱞᱟᱱ ᱣᱤᱞᱥᱚᱱ (Allan Wilson) ᱫᱚ 1965 ᱥᱮᱨᱢᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱡᱟᱜ Casino Gambler’s Guide ᱨᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱮ ᱚᱞ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱯᱟᱥᱟ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱭ ᱮ ᱮᱠᱮᱞ ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ ᱛᱮ ᱵᱟᱰᱟᱭ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸ ᱠᱟᱫᱤᱭᱟ᱾

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱧᱮᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ?

ᱦ ᱦ ᱦ ᱡ ᱡ ᱡ (ᱦ = ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ, ᱡ = ᱡᱤᱛ): ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1᱾ −3 + 1 + 2 = 0 ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭᱟ, 1 (3 ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ), +1 ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ᱾ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ −1 −1 −1 +1 +2 +1 = +1᱾ ᱯᱮ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱟᱨ ᱯᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ᱾

ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱡᱚᱛᱚᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ
1ᱦ1−11 (ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ)
2ᱦ1−21
3ᱦ1−31
4ᱡ1−22 (ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ)
5ᱡ201 (ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹ: +1 ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ 1 ᱜᱮ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ)
6ᱡ1+1ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ; 1 ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱲᱟ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱧᱮᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ?

ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱪᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱚᱡᱷᱮ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ: −8 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱧᱩᱨᱩᱜ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱪᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣᱚᱜ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱭᱢᱟ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱛᱤᱥ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱯᱚᱴᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱥᱮᱫ ᱥᱟᱨᱮᱡ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱚᱦᱚᱢ ᱡᱚᱦᱚᱢ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱨᱟᱹᱠᱟᱹᱵ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱛᱩᱞᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱧᱮᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱜᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ᱾

ᱜᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱜᱽᱨᱟᱭᱤᱸᱰ-ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ, $10 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱛᱩᱞᱟᱹ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
+$2,610$0−$500+$1,280−$2500125250375500ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
1,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ × 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · ᱵᱮᱸᱜᱚᱱᱤ p10/p25/p75/p90, ᱯᱷᱤᱠᱟ ᱞᱤᱞ ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ, 82 ᱯᱷᱤᱠᱟ ᱱᱢᱩᱱᱟ · ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱣᱟᱱᱴᱟᱭᱤᱞ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱪᱟᱨᱴ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱛᱮ ᱢᱟᱣᱩᱥ ᱥᱟᱦᱮᱫ ᱯᱮ
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ −$500
  • p75 −$500
  • p90 −$500
1,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ × 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · y ᱟᱠᱥ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱟᱨᱥᱮᱱᱴᱟᱭᱤᱞ 1–99 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ (ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ −$500 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ +$2,780) · 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · $10 ᱢᱩᱞ · ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ
ᱚᱱᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱜᱩᱱ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱡᱚᱦᱚᱢ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ, ᱞᱟᱦᱟᱭ, ᱟᱨ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70%᱾

ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱜᱽᱨᱟᱭᱤᱸᱰ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭ-ᱟ ᱥᱮ?

ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱟᱡᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 1/37 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱮᱫᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 1/37 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵᱴᱟᱠᱟᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱫᱚᱦᱲᱟ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱦᱮᱱᱰᱮᱞ, ᱮᱠᱥᱚᱱ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱜᱩᱬ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ; ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱦᱚᱸ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ᱾ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱᱢᱟᱨᱮ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱛᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢ᱾ ᱱᱮᱜᱮᱴᱤᱵᱷ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣᱟ, ᱯᱚᱡᱤᱴᱤᱵᱷ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱚ ᱛᱮ ᱠᱷᱚᱨᱚᱪ ᱨᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱥᱟᱢᱟᱝ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱥᱟᱦᱟᱫ ᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ᱾

ᱚᱠᱟᱭ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱵᱟᱪᱷᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ?

ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱠᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱸᱪᱟ ᱥᱟᱱᱟᱢ ᱮᱫᱟ, ᱵᱩᱨᱩ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱧᱩᱨ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱥᱟᱱᱟᱢ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ +1 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱠᱩᱥᱤ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱟᱨᱴᱤᱝᱜᱮᱞᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤᱢᱟᱨᱴᱤᱝᱜᱮᱞᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱰᱚᱵᱚᱞ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱮ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱨᱮ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱯᱮ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱟᱹᱭᱩᱨ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱮᱢᱟ, ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ ᱥᱮ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱡᱟᱜ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱟᱨᱴᱤᱝᱜᱮᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱩᱨᱩ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱧᱩᱨ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾

ᱥᱤᱢᱩᱞᱮᱴᱚᱨ · ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱜᱽᱨᱟᱭᱤᱸᱰ

$1,000 ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ᱾

ᱢᱩᱞ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ $10 · ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹ $500 · ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ 100 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ

ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱸᱴᱟᱣᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ← | → ᱞᱟᱵᱷ
−$1,000$0+$430
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱟᱣᱩᱥ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ ᱯᱮ · ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ, ᱦᱟᱹᱨᱭᱟᱹᱲ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ, ᱯᱷᱤᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ $0 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱥᱮᱫ ᱨᱮ
ᱞᱟᱵᱷ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ
68.3%
ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
+$100
ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
−$84.91
ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ
14.5%
ᱯᱟᱨᱥᱮᱱᱴᱟᱭᱤᱞ 5
−$1,000
ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱜᱷᱟᱴᱛᱤ
−$300

ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱠᱚ

ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱜᱽᱨᱟᱭᱤᱸᱰ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱟᱨᱴᱤᱝᱜᱮᱞ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱨᱚᱠᱷᱤᱭᱟ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ ᱥᱮ?

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱤᱯᱚᱫ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱹᱛᱷ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱨᱚᱠᱷᱤᱭᱟ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱰᱚᱞᱟᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ᱾

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱥᱟᱵᱟᱦ ᱪᱟᱞᱟᱜ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱥᱮ?

ᱵᱤᱪᱟᱨ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱦᱮᱸ᱾ ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱥᱟᱭᱠᱮᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱯᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱛᱷᱤᱨ ᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱟᱯᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤᱴᱟᱠᱟᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱟᱞᱟᱜ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱥᱟᱢᱵᱷᱟᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱮᱱᱮᱛ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱡᱚᱠᱷᱤᱢ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱴᱷᱟᱹᱣᱠᱟᱹ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱦᱚᱛᱮᱛᱮ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱚᱥᱠᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱚᱠᱟᱭ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸ ᱠᱟᱱᱟᱭ?

1965 ᱥᱮᱨᱢᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱮᱞᱟᱱ ᱣᱤᱞᱥᱚᱱ ᱦᱚᱛᱮᱛᱮ ᱚᱞ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱯᱟᱥᱟ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ᱾ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱵᱟᱰᱟᱭ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾

ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ

ᱵᱩᱨᱩ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱧᱩᱨ ᱵᱟᱝ, ᱫᱟᱹᱲ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ, 2.70% ᱨᱮ᱾

ᱵᱩᱨᱩ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱧᱩᱨ ᱵᱟᱝ, ᱫᱟᱹᱲ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ, 2.70% ᱨᱮ᱾

ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ

  1. RouletteDoc. Strategy description and examples. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy/oscar-s-grind
  2. Roulette77. Strategy description and examples. https://roulette77.us/strategies/oscar-grind
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010᱾ ᱪᱮᱯᱴᱟᱨ 13, ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ᱾
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
2026-09-28 ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱸᱪ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟᱢᱚᱰᱮᱞ: ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ, ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵ ᱦᱚᱨᱟ ↗ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ ↗