ᱠᱩᱭᱤᱡᱽ · ᱠᱷᱮᱞ · 8 ᱢᱤᱱᱤᱴ

ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱡᱟᱥᱩᱥ

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 3,000 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱞᱚᱜ, ᱚᱱᱟ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱞᱮᱵ ᱦᱟᱹᱛᱤᱭᱟᱹᱨ ᱵᱮᱵᱷᱟᱨ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱜᱚᱨᱚᱢ ᱥᱮᱠᱴᱚᱨ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱯᱮ, ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱢᱮᱱᱛᱮ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱯᱮ᱾

ᱠᱷᱟᱴᱚ ᱛᱮᱞᱟ

ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ, ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱯᱷᱟᱭᱥᱟᱞᱟ᱾ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱦᱤᱴ ᱢᱮᱯ, ±2σ ᱯᱟᱴᱟ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱪᱟᱨᱴ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱟᱭ-ᱥᱠᱣᱮᱭᱟᱨ ᱯᱚᱨᱚᱠᱷᱞᱮᱵᱠᱟᱭ-ᱥᱠᱣᱮᱭᱟᱨ ᱯᱚᱨᱚᱠᱷᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱦᱤᱴ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ n/37 ᱥᱟᱶ ᱛᱩᱞᱟᱹᱣ ᱥᱴᱮᱴᱤᱥᱴᱤᱠᱟᱞ ᱯᱚᱨᱚᱠᱷ᱾ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ-ᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟ ᱵᱤᱪᱟᱹᱨ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱵᱮᱵᱷᱟᱨᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ; ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱠᱴᱚᱨ ᱥᱠᱮᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱟᱹᱠᱷᱭᱟᱹᱛ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱧᱟᱢᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱱᱚᱢᱵᱚᱨ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱛᱮ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ᱾

ᱪᱟᱠᱟ
5
ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ
3,000
ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱱᱚᱢᱵᱚᱨ
10
ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ
1

5 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ 1 · 3,000 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ

ᱫᱚᱥ ᱮᱢ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱠᱞᱤᱠ ᱯᱮ
0321519421225173462713361130823105241633120143192218297281235326
ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ3,000
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ81.1 · σ 8.9
ᱥᱟᱱᱟᱢ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱜᱚᱨᱚᱢ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ26 · 155 ᱦᱤᱴ · 8.3σ
ᱠᱟᱭ-ᱥᱠᱣᱮᱭᱟᱨ · p197.6 · < 0.001
E00 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ · ᱦᱤᱴ

ᱱᱚᱢᱵᱚᱨ

9–10: ᱡᱮᱜᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱥᱟᱱᱟᱭ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱫ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾

6–8: ᱟᱯᱮ ᱦᱤᱴ ᱢᱮᱯ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱯᱮ ᱟᱨ ᱮᱴᱮᱫ ᱥᱟᱹᱠᱷᱭᱟᱹᱛ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱟᱧᱪᱟᱣ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱯᱮ᱾

3–5: ᱟᱯᱮ ᱠᱮᱴᱮᱡ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ ᱯᱮ; ᱥᱤᱧᱟᱹ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱟᱨ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱯᱚᱨᱚᱠᱷ᱾

3 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱚᱢ: ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱱᱢᱩᱱᱟ ᱢᱟᱯ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱯᱮ ᱦᱟᱡᱟᱨ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱫᱚ ᱠᱮᱴᱮᱡ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱥᱩᱢᱩᱝ ᱜᱮ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱥᱤᱧᱟᱹ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱪᱮᱫ ᱛᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱠᱚᱴᱷᱤᱱ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ

3,000 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟᱥᱟᱡ ᱥᱟᱢᱟᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟᱨᱚᱴᱚᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 37 ᱮᱞ ᱚᱞ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱥᱞᱚᱴ, ᱠᱟᱯ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟ ᱫᱚ 81 ᱟᱨ ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱚᱜᱚ ᱢᱩᱞ; ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱱ ᱥᱟᱦᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ ᱢᱚᱴᱮ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ 9, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱥᱩᱢᱩᱝ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ ᱛᱮ ᱜᱮ ᱠᱚᱭᱢᱟ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ ±2σ ᱯᱟᱴᱟ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ᱾ +40% ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱚᱴᱮ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ 113 ᱨᱮ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ, ᱢᱚᱴᱮ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ 3.5σ; +20% ᱨᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱚᱴᱮ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ 97, 2σ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱚᱢ, ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫᱴᱟᱹᱝ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱧᱮᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱥᱮᱠᱴᱚᱨᱪᱟᱠᱟᱥᱮᱠᱴᱚᱨᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱩᱞᱟᱹᱭ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ, ᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱜᱩᱴᱤ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱟᱞᱟᱜ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ ᱡᱩᱢᱤᱫᱚᱜ-ᱟ: 5-ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱥᱠᱮᱱ ᱛᱮ ᱜᱮ ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱠᱚ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ, ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ ᱥᱮ ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ ᱢᱮᱥᱤᱱ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱢᱛᱤ ᱠᱚ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧᱟ᱾

ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱠᱚ

ᱢᱤᱫ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ?

ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱠᱚᱴᱷᱤᱱ ᱫᱟᱠᱷᱚ ᱫᱚ ᱜᱚᱨᱚᱢ ᱥᱮᱠᱴᱚᱨ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ; ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ ᱥᱮᱠᱴᱚᱨ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱜᱮ ᱠᱚᱴᱷᱤᱱ᱾

ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱛᱮ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ?

ᱠᱮᱴᱮᱡ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱦᱟᱡᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱡᱟᱨ; ᱥᱤᱧᱟᱹ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱦᱟᱡᱟᱨ᱾ ᱡᱮᱜᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱜᱷᱟᱨᱚᱧᱡᱽ ᱦᱚᱲ ᱠᱚ ᱦᱟᱯᱛᱟ ᱦᱟᱯᱛᱟ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ᱾

ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ

ᱥᱮᱠᱴᱚᱨ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱢᱟᱱᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ ᱡᱮ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱥᱮᱠᱴᱚᱨ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱢᱟᱱᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ ᱡᱮ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ

  1. Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel. Lyle Stuart, 1992᱾
  2. Pearson, K. “On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable…” Philosophical Magazine 50(302), 1900᱾
2026-09-28 ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱸᱪ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟᱢᱚᱰᱮᱞ: ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ, ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵ ᱦᱚᱨᱟ ↗ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ ↗