ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ
ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭ-ᱟ᱾ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱲ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ, ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱯᱮ᱾
ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱟ᱾ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱡᱚᱲ ᱡᱤᱛᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱡᱤᱞᱤᱧᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱦᱚᱸ᱾ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ: ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70%᱾
ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱛᱮ ᱥᱮᱱ ᱯᱮ
ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱩᱭᱞᱩ ᱮᱞ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱨᱮ ᱚᱞ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾
ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱩᱞ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾
ᱠᱟᱜᱚᱡ ᱨᱮ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭ-ᱟ
ᱟᱯᱮ ᱛᱤᱢᱤᱱ ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣ ᱥᱟᱱᱟᱢ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱯᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱯᱮ, ᱢᱮᱱ ᱞᱮ 10 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴᱴᱟᱠᱟᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱵᱮᱵᱷᱟᱨ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱠᱚ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱛᱮ ᱵᱩᱡᱷᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱡᱮᱢᱚᱱ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱩ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →, ᱟᱨ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱚᱞ ᱯᱮ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱲ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ: 1 2 3 4᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱟᱦᱤᱞ ᱮᱞ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱲ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ: 1 + 4 = 5᱾ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ; ᱱᱤᱛ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱫᱚ 2 3 ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱨᱮ ᱚᱞ ᱯᱮ: 1 2 3 4 5᱾ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱮ, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱟᱱᱮ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱯᱮ 10 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ ᱯᱮ, ᱥᱮ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱤᱥᱴ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭ-ᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱡᱤᱱᱤᱥ ᱚᱪᱚᱜ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱷᱮᱜᱟᱨ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤ ᱞᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱡᱤᱱᱤᱥ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾
ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱡᱟᱜ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤᱚᱜ-ᱟ?
ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱮᱞ ᱚᱪᱚᱜ ᱮᱫᱟ; ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱫᱚ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱫᱷᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ (48.6%) ᱟᱡᱟᱜ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱞᱩᱵᱷᱟᱹᱣ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱟᱞ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ: ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱩᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱚ, ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ −$500
- p75 −$500
- p90 +$1,570
ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭ-ᱟ ᱥᱮ?
ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱠᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱠᱷᱚᱨᱚᱪᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ 1 2 3 4 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ, ᱤᱨᱟᱹᱞ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱟᱨ 13 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱮᱢ ᱮᱫᱟ, 68 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱞᱟᱦᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱥᱟᱶ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ $10 ᱨᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ $130 ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱟᱨ $680 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ᱾ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱡᱟᱭᱜᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱤᱨᱟᱹᱞ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟᱢᱤᱫ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ, 0 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 1 ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ 0% ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 100%᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱮᱞ: 1/37 = 2.70%᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ (19/37)⁸ ≈ 0.5% ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ 200-ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱡᱟᱭᱜᱟ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱢᱟᱨᱴᱤᱝᱜᱮᱞᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤᱢᱟᱨᱴᱤᱝᱜᱮᱞᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱰᱚᱵᱚᱞ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱮ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤᱭᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱨᱮ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱯᱮ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱝ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱫᱚ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱥᱟᱵᱟᱲᱟ; ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱟᱭᱢᱟ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ᱾
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱛᱤᱢᱤᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ?
ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ, 1 2 3, ᱫᱚ 6 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱡᱤᱛᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱟᱞᱮ ᱫᱚ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱵᱤᱱᱟᱹ ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱨᱟᱜᱵᱟᱡᱤᱟᱨᱟᱜ18 ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱨᱩᱡᱽ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱞᱤᱭᱚᱱ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱥᱤᱢᱩᱞᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱞᱮ ᱠᱟᱫᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱚᱞ ᱞᱮ ᱠᱟᱫᱟ: ᱱᱤᱛ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱟᱨ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱟᱫᱷᱟ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱛᱤᱥ ᱦᱚᱸ 9 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤ ᱞᱮᱱᱟ᱾ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱚ 79 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱭ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ 490 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤ ᱞᱮᱱᱟ, ᱟᱨ 100 ᱨᱮ 99 ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱫᱚ 6-ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱞᱟᱠᱷᱭᱚ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱡᱚᱦᱚᱢ 1,050 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ᱾ ᱡᱤᱨᱚᱪᱟᱠᱟᱡᱤᱨᱚᱢᱤᱫᱜᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱨᱭᱟᱹᱲ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱠᱚᱵᱷᱟᱨᱟ; ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱩᱞ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, 0᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱵᱤᱱᱟᱹ ᱦᱚᱸ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱱᱤᱭᱟᱭ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱱᱤᱭᱟᱭ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱠᱟ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱥᱮᱫ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ-ᱟ: ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ, ᱡᱚᱦᱚᱢ 700 ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ᱾ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱚᱦᱚᱢ ᱡᱚᱦᱚᱢ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱠᱷᱚᱨᱚᱪᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾
ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱨᱩᱯ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱥᱮ?
ᱩᱞᱴᱟᱹ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ: ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱮᱞ ᱚᱞ ᱯᱮ, ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱲᱟᱣ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ, ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ, ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱯᱮ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱛᱷᱤᱨ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱯᱚᱡᱤᱴᱤᱵᱷ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱᱢᱟᱨᱮ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱛᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢ᱾ ᱱᱮᱜᱮᱴᱤᱵᱷ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣᱟ, ᱯᱚᱡᱤᱴᱤᱵᱷ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ (“1 2 3 4 5 6” ᱠᱷᱚᱱ “1 2 3” ᱟᱨ “4 5 6”) ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱩᱱ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱮᱞ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱟᱠᱷᱭᱚ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱛᱩᱞᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱜᱮ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱩᱞᱴᱟᱹ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱱᱤᱥ ᱨᱮ ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ ᱥᱮ?
ᱩᱞᱴᱟᱹ ᱨᱩᱯ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱡᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱡᱚᱲ ᱠᱷᱚᱨᱚᱪ ᱮᱫᱟ, 1 2 3 4 ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ 10 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ; ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱡᱤᱛᱚᱜ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱯᱟᱨᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱞᱟᱵᱷ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭᱟᱭ ᱟᱨ ᱫᱚᱦᱲᱟ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱮᱫᱟᱭ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ-ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱩᱞᱴᱟᱹ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ: ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱡᱤᱛ᱾ ᱱᱚᱨᱢᱟᱱ ᱞᱤ (Norman Leigh) ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱯᱩᱛᱷᱤ Thirteen Against the Bank (1976) ᱫᱚ ᱢᱮᱛᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱡᱮ ᱩᱱᱤᱭᱟᱜ ᱫᱚᱞ 1966 ᱥᱮᱨᱢᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱱᱤᱥ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱵᱮᱵᱷᱟᱨ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱟᱹᱦᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱮᱛᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱡᱮ 100 ᱞᱟᱹᱦᱤ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 96 ᱡᱤᱛ ᱞᱮᱱᱟ (ᱜᱚᱞᱰᱢᱮᱱ (Goldman), 2007)᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱩᱞᱴᱟᱹ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱟᱞᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱤᱢᱩᱞᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱡᱤᱛᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱡᱮᱛᱤᱠ ᱩᱥᱩᱞ, ᱡᱤᱛ ᱚᱛᱮᱠ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ᱾ ᱠᱷᱚᱨᱚᱪ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱞᱟ ᱯᱟᱨᱛᱟᱡᱽᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢᱞᱟ ᱯᱟᱨᱛᱟᱡᱽᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢ: ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱫᱷᱟ ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱟᱫᱷᱟ, 1.35% ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱥᱟᱶ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵᱴᱟᱠᱟᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱫᱚᱦᱲᱟ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱦᱮᱱᱰᱮᱞ, ᱮᱠᱥᱚᱱ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ 1.35% ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱚᱠᱟᱭ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸ ᱠᱟᱱᱟᱭ?
ᱦᱮᱱᱨᱤ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ (Henry Labouchère) (1831–1912), ᱠᱷᱚᱵᱚᱨ ᱚᱞᱤᱭᱟᱹ, ᱛᱷᱤᱭᱮᱴᱟᱨ ᱢᱟᱞᱤᱠ ᱟᱨ ᱞᱤᱵᱟᱨᱟᱞ ᱥᱟᱸᱥᱚᱫ, ᱫᱚ ᱞᱚᱱᱰᱚᱱ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱡ ᱨᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱵᱟᱰᱟᱭ ᱪᱷᱚᱭ ᱞᱮᱫᱟᱭ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱮᱛᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱡᱮ ᱩᱱᱤ ᱢᱚᱱᱴᱮ ᱠᱟᱨᱞᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱮ ᱵᱮᱵᱷᱟᱨ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱦᱚᱨᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱩᱱᱤ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱢᱟᱲᱟᱝ ᱨᱮ ᱜᱮ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱜᱩᱬ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ; ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱛᱤᱥ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱥᱟᱵᱩᱫ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱲ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 37 ᱛᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱥᱤᱢᱩᱞᱮᱴᱚᱨ · ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ
$1,000 ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ᱾
ᱢᱩᱞ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ $10 · ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹ $500 · ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ 100 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ
ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱥᱟᱦᱟᱣ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ-ᱟ
ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ 37 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ 19 ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ ᱮᱫᱟ ᱡᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ ᱪᱮᱫ, ᱟᱨ 1 2 3 4 ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱨᱮ ᱚᱞ ᱠᱟᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱫᱟᱭ᱾
| ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ | ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ | ᱢᱚᱴᱟ ᱢᱩᱴᱤ 1 / | ᱱᱤᱛᱚᱜ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ | ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51.4% | 2 | $5 | $6 |
| 2 | 26.4% | 4 | $11 | $7 |
| 3 | 13.5% | 7 | $18 | $8 |
| 4 | 7.0% | 14 | $26 | $9 |
| 5 | 3.6% | 28 | $35 | $10 |
| 6 | 1.8% | 55 | $45 | $11 |
| 7 | 0.94% | 106 | $56 | $12 |
| 8 | 0.48% | 207 | $68 | $13 |
| 9 | 0.25% | 403 | $81 | $14 |
| 10 | 0.13% | 784 | $95 | $15 |
| 11 | 0.065% | 1527 | $110 | $16 |
| 12 | 0.034% | 2974 | $126 | $17 |
| 13 | 0.017% | 5792 | $143 | $18 |
| 14 | 0.0089% | 11279 | $161 | $19 |
| 15 | 0.0046% | 21965 | $180 | $20 |
ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ 19/37 ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱡ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱜᱩᱱ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱛᱷᱤᱨ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱭᱢᱟ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱟᱭᱩᱵ ᱨᱮ ᱱᱚᱣᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾
ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱠᱚ
ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱞᱟᱦᱟᱭ ᱞᱟᱦᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱵᱩᱨᱩ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱧᱩᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱟᱨ ᱪᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮᱭᱟ᱾
ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱮᱞ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭᱟ; ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞᱟ᱾
ᱦᱮᱸ᱾ ᱟᱯᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱫᱚ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱪᱟᱞᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱜᱮ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱨᱟᱹᱥᱠᱟᱹ
ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱯᱩᱭᱞᱩ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱛᱮ ᱠᱩᱨᱩᱢᱩᱴᱩ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱫᱷᱟᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱩᱠᱩ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ; ᱛᱮᱭᱟᱨ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱡᱷᱤᱡᱽ ᱯᱮ᱾
ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴᱮᱡᱤᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ: ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱮᱞ ᱚᱞ ᱯᱮ, ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱲᱟᱣ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ, ᱡᱤᱛ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ, ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ ᱯᱮ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ 1 2 3 4 5 ᱥᱟᱶ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱯᱮ, 15 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱞᱚᱠᱷᱭᱚ, ᱟᱨ ᱯᱟᱹᱦᱤᱞ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱮᱫ, ᱟᱯᱮ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱢ ᱯᱮ, ᱟᱨ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱪᱮᱫ?
ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱫᱷᱟᱱ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ
ᱛᱮᱞᱟ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9, ᱟᱯᱮ 30 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴᱴᱟᱠᱟᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱵᱮᱵᱷᱟᱨ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱠᱚ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱛᱮ ᱵᱩᱡᱷᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱡᱮᱢᱚᱱ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱩ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱢ ᱯᱮ, ᱟᱨ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ 10᱾
ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱚ ᱫᱚ 1 + 5 = 6, ᱮᱱᱟᱛᱮ 1 + 6 = 7, 1 + 7 = 8 ᱟᱨ 1 + 8 = 9᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱨᱮ ᱚᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱱᱤᱛ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ: 6 + 7 + 8 + 9 = 30᱾
ᱱᱤᱛ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ 45: 15 ᱞᱚᱠᱷᱭᱚ ᱟᱨ 30 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ᱾ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱢᱮᱴᱟᱣ ᱫᱚ ᱱᱤᱛᱚᱜ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ 15 ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣᱟ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱮᱞ ᱢᱮᱴᱟᱣᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱟᱨᱦᱚᱸ ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ, 10 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ, ᱟᱨ ᱦᱚᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱟᱨᱦᱚᱸ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣᱟ᱾
ᱵᱟᱨᱴᱥᱮᱞᱤ (Bartschelly) ᱟᱜ “ᱜᱮᱨᱮᱱᱴᱤᱰ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ” ᱫᱚ 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 ᱥᱟᱶ ᱮᱦᱚᱵᱚᱜ-ᱟ, 15 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱞᱚᱠᱷᱭᱚ᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱱᱚᱣᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱞᱟ: ᱱᱚᱣᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱯᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱮᱫ, ᱟᱯᱮ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱢ ᱯᱮ, ᱟᱨ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱪᱮᱫ?
ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱫᱷᱟᱱ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ
ᱛᱮᱞᱟ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 5 5 5, ᱟᱯᱮ 12 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱢ ᱯᱮ, ᱟᱨ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ 6, ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ᱾
ᱯᱟᱹᱦᱤᱞ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ: 1 + 2 = 3᱾ ᱱᱚᱣᱟ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱯᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ 1 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫᱚᱜ-ᱟ: 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3᱾
ᱵᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ: 1 + 3 = 4᱾ ᱱᱚᱣᱟ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ: 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4᱾
ᱯᱮ ᱥᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ: 1 + 4 = 5᱾ ᱱᱚᱣᱟ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ: 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 5 5 5᱾ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ: 3 + 4 + 5 = 12, ᱟᱨ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ 27᱾
ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱚᱸ 27, ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ 6 ᱥᱟᱶ᱾ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱮᱞ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱜᱮ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ ᱫᱤᱞᱟᱥᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱧᱮᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱨᱟᱠᱟᱵᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾
ᱟᱯᱮ 1 2 3 4 ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱞᱟᱵᱩᱥᱮᱨ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱱᱤᱛ ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱟᱯᱮ 12 ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱫᱟ ᱯᱮ ᱟᱨ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱱᱤᱛᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱢᱮᱴᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ? ᱡᱩᱫᱤ 13 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ?
ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱫᱷᱟᱱ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ
ᱛᱮᱞᱟ 12 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱥᱟᱶ 8 ᱡᱤᱛ, 13 ᱥᱟᱶ 9 ᱡᱤᱛ᱾ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ 10 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ ᱞᱟᱵᱷ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱡᱩᱫᱤ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱟᱯᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱫᱷᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱮᱫᱟ ᱯᱮ᱾
ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱚ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱱᱚᱣᱟ 4 ᱥᱟᱶ ᱮᱦᱚᱵᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱨᱦᱚᱸ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱚᱞᱟ; ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱢᱮᱴᱟᱣᱟ, ᱥᱮ ᱮᱠᱮᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱹᱜᱤ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ᱾ W ᱡᱤᱛ ᱟᱨ L ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ, 4 + L − 2W ᱵᱟᱹᱜᱤᱭᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ 2W ᱫᱚ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ 4 + L ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱜᱮ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾
12 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ: 2W ᱫᱚ 16 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ 8 ᱡᱤᱛ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ 20 ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ 13 ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ: 2W ᱫᱚ 17 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱥᱮᱴᱮᱨ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ 9 ᱡᱤᱛ, 22 ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾
ᱡᱤᱛ ᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱛᱟᱨᱛᱤᱵ ᱫᱚ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱚᱠᱟ ᱴᱷᱟᱶ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱮᱢᱟ, ᱱᱚᱰᱮ 10 ᱭᱩᱱᱤᱴ᱾ ᱱᱚᱣᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ ᱥᱤᱥᱴᱮᱢ ᱫᱚ ᱠᱟᱹᱢᱤ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱧᱮᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱡᱩᱫᱤ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱟᱹᱲᱛᱤ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱛᱟᱨᱛᱤᱵ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱦᱚᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱟᱯ: ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ ᱞᱟᱦᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱚᱱᱠᱚ ᱟᱯᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤᱴᱟᱠᱟᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱟᱞᱟᱜ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱯᱩᱸᱡᱤ ᱥᱟᱢᱵᱷᱟᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱮᱱᱮᱛ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱟᱨ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱡᱚᱠᱷᱤᱢ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱴᱷᱟᱹᱣᱠᱟᱹ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱥᱮ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹᱦᱩᱠᱩᱢ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹ ᱜᱮ ᱰᱚᱵᱚᱞ ᱯᱨᱚᱜᱽᱨᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱵᱚᱸᱫᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱯᱟᱨᱚᱢ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ (ᱮᱯᱥᱴᱮᱭᱤᱱ (Epstein), 2013)᱾
ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ
ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱟ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ
- RouletteDoc. Strategy description and examples.
- Roulette77. Strategy description and examples.
- Roulette77. Reverse Labouchere description.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed.
- Wykes, A. The Complete Illustrated Guide to Gambling.
- Leigh, N. Thirteen Against the Bank.
- Goldman, N. Great Gambling Scams.