ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱯᱮ · ᱮᱛᱚᱦᱚᱵᱤᱭᱟᱹ · 7 ᱢᱤᱱᱤᱴ

ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ

ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ: ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱩᱥᱴᱤ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ: ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ 2.70%᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →᱾

ᱠᱷᱟᱴᱚ ᱛᱮᱞᱟ

ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱚ ᱛᱟᱲᱟᱣᱟ ᱟᱨ 5:1 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 35:1 ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱥᱮ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱤᱨᱟᱹᱞ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱚ ᱛᱟᱲᱟᱣᱟ ᱟᱨ 2:1 ᱥᱮ 1:1 ᱮᱢᱟ᱾

ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ
1–6 ᱮᱞ
ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ
12–18 ᱮᱞ
ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ
ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱨᱮ 2.70%
σ ᱟᱹᱱᱩᱯᱟᱹᱛ
6× ᱦᱟᱵᱤᱡ

ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱮᱫ?

ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯᱢᱤᱫ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 35:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →, ᱥᱯᱞᱤᱴᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱯᱞᱤᱴᱵᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱵᱟᱫ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 17:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →, ᱥᱴᱨᱤᱴᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱴᱨᱤᱴᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱯᱟᱹᱱᱛᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱯᱮ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 11:1᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱴᱨᱟᱸᱥᱣᱮᱨᱥᱟᱞ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →, ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨᱵᱟᱡᱤᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱬᱟ ᱥᱟᱡᱷᱟ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 8:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱟᱨ ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱᱵᱟᱡᱤᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱᱵᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱵᱟᱫ ᱯᱟᱹᱱᱛᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 5:1᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱥᱤᱡᱮᱸ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱮᱞ ᱡᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱩᱱᱠᱩ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱠᱟᱹᱴᱤᱡ ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ 37 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ 35 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱮᱢᱟ; ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ 5 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱮᱢᱟ᱾ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱛᱮ ᱟᱯᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱪᱤᱯᱴᱟᱠᱟᱪᱤᱯᱛᱷᱤᱠ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱪᱤᱱᱦᱟᱹ ᱴᱚᱠᱮᱱ, ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱪᱮᱠ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱚᱣᱟᱜ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱩᱜ-ᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱚᱬᱮᱴᱟ $1 ᱪᱤᱯ $5 ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾

ᱟᱹᱭᱩᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱ᱾ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ 70 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱦᱟᱵᱤᱡ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ (ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟᱢᱤᱫ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ, 0 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 1 ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ 0% ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 100%᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱮᱞ: 1/37 = 2.70%᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ 15%) ᱟᱨ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ $10 ᱪᱤᱯ ᱨᱮ $350 ᱧᱟᱢ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟᱭ᱾ ᱚᱱᱟ 70 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱜᱩᱬ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ; ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱫᱚ $19; ᱥᱟᱹᱨᱤ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ −$700 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ +$1,000 ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱜᱮ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱥᱤᱢᱟᱹ

ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱮᱫ?

ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱᱵᱟᱡᱤᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ1–12, 13–24 ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ 25–36, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 2:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →, ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢᱵᱟᱡᱤᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱛᱷᱤᱨ ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ ᱨᱮ ᱜᱮᱞᱵᱟᱨ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 2:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →, ᱟᱨᱟᱜᱵᱟᱡᱤᱟᱨᱟᱜ18 ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱨᱩᱡᱽ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →, ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮᱵᱟᱡᱤᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ18 ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱱᱣᱟᱨ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →, ᱵᱤᱡᱳᱲ, ᱡᱳᱲ, ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱟᱨ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱜᱷᱮᱨᱟ ᱵᱟᱠᱥᱚ ᱠᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱩᱱᱠᱩ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱠᱟᱹᱴᱤᱡ ᱮᱢᱟ: ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ 2 ᱨᱮ 1, ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱠᱚ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱟᱡ ᱛᱮ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ᱾ ᱟᱹᱭᱩᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ: ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱞᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱦᱤᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵᱴᱟᱠᱟᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱫᱚᱦᱲᱟ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱦᱮᱱᱰᱮᱞ, ᱮᱠᱥᱚᱱ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70% ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱪᱟᱵᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱡᱤᱛ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ, ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ %
ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ (1)
2.70%
ᱥᱯᱞᱤᱴ (2)
5.41%
ᱥᱴᱨᱤᱴ (3)
8.11%
ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ (4)
10.81%
ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ (6)
16.22%
ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ / ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ (12)
32.43%
ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ (18)
48.65%
ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ %
024.3248.65%
ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱛᱟᱲᱟᱣ ᱮᱞ ᱠᱚ ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣ 37 ᱛᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ᱾ ᱛᱟᱲᱟᱣ ᱵᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ ᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ ᱠᱚᱢᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱡᱮᱢᱚᱱ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱛᱟᱨᱮ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱢᱤᱫ −2.70% ᱜᱮ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ᱾

ᱪᱮᱫ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱪᱮᱫ ᱵᱟᱝ

ᱵᱟᱨ ᱜᱩᱥᱴᱤ ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱹᱛᱟᱹᱨ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱱᱤᱭᱟᱭ ᱚᱰᱥ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 1/37 ᱠᱚᱢ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱟᱭᱢᱟ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70% ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱞᱟᱛᱟᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱛᱟᱹᱞᱤᱠᱟᱹ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ $10, 100 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ; ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ ᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱟᱹᱛᱟᱹᱨ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱭᱥᱟᱹ᱾

$10 × 100 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯᱟᱨᱟᱜ
ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ−$27−$27
ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱ$584$100
ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱟᱹᱛᱟᱹᱨ (±1σ)−$611 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ +$557−$127 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ +$73
p(ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱞᱟᱵᱷ ᱨᱮ)≈ 31%≈ 42%
p(ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ)6.5%≈ 0%
ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱷᱚᱨᱚᱪ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ; ᱢᱤᱫᱴᱟᱝ ᱫᱚ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱵᱟᱵᱚᱫ ᱨᱟᱜ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱞᱟᱹᱭ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ, ᱵᱮᱜᱚᱨ ᱦᱤᱞᱚᱜ: ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱡᱷᱚᱛᱚ ᱛᱩᱨᱩᱭ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱭᱥᱟᱹ ᱦᱤᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱟᱪᱷᱟᱣ: ᱟᱹᱭᱩᱨ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ, ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱝ

ᱡᱩᱫᱤ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱦᱤᱞᱚᱜ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱥᱟᱱᱟᱭᱮᱫ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱦᱩᱰᱤᱧ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱵᱟᱡᱤᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱡᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱜᱷᱮᱨᱟᱣ ᱵᱟᱠᱥᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ: ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ, ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ ᱟᱨ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱚᱱᱟ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾ ᱡᱩᱫᱤ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱡᱤᱛ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ ᱥᱟᱱᱟᱭᱮᱫ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱵᱟᱡᱮᱴ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱟᱨᱟᱝ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ, ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱵᱟᱡᱤᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱡᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ: ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ, ᱥᱯᱞᱤᱴ, ᱥᱴᱨᱤᱴ, ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨ, ᱥᱤᱠᱥ ᱞᱟᱭᱤᱱ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱚᱱᱟ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱪᱟᱹᱞᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱟᱯᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱥᱩᱢᱩᱝ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱟᱨ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱞᱟ ᱯᱟᱨᱛᱟᱡᱽᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢᱞᱟ ᱯᱟᱨᱛᱟᱡᱽᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢ: ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱫᱷᱟ ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱟᱫᱷᱟ, 1.35% ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾

ᱜᱮᱞ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ, $10 ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱛᱩᱞᱟᱹ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
+$380$0−$500+$160−$2500125250375500ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
1,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ × 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · ᱵᱮᱸᱜᱚᱱᱤ p10/p25/p75/p90, ᱯᱷᱤᱠᱟ ᱞᱤᱞ ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ, 81 ᱯᱷᱤᱠᱟ ᱱᱢᱩᱱᱟ · ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱣᱟᱱᱴᱟᱭᱤᱞ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱪᱟᱨᱴ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱛᱮ ᱢᱟᱣᱩᱥ ᱥᱟᱦᱮᱫ ᱯᱮ
  • p10 −$420
  • p25 −$280
  • ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ −$120
  • p75 +$20
  • p90 +$140
1,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ × 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · y ᱟᱠᱥ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱟᱨᱥᱮᱱᱴᱟᱭᱤᱞ 1–99 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ (ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ −$500 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ +$620) · 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · $10 ᱢᱩᱞ · ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ

ᱞᱟ ᱯᱟᱨᱛᱟᱡᱽ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢ

ᱜᱩᱥᱴᱤ ᱠᱚ ᱢᱮᱥᱟ

ᱟᱭᱢᱟ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱚ ᱢᱮᱥᱟᱭᱟ: ᱞᱚᱴᱟᱨᱤ ᱴᱤᱠᱤᱴ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱦᱮᱫ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱟᱨᱟᱜ᱾ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ᱾ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱱ ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ −1/37᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱥᱮᱞᱮᱫᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱢᱮᱥᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70% ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱛᱟᱞᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱜᱷᱮᱨᱟᱣ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱯᱟᱥᱱᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱟᱯᱲᱟᱣ᱾ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱹᱲᱛᱤ, ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣᱤᱡ ᱦᱟᱹᱛᱤᱭᱟᱹᱨ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱱ ᱢᱮᱥᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵ ᱮ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾

ᱜᱮᱞ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ, $10 ᱢᱤᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱱᱮᱦᱚᱵ ᱛᱩᱞᱟᱹ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
+$3,340$0−$500+$1,5600125250375500ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ
1,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ × 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · ᱵᱮᱸᱜᱚᱱᱤ p10/p25/p75/p90, ᱯᱷᱤᱠᱟ ᱞᱤᱞ ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ, 83 ᱯᱷᱤᱠᱟ ᱱᱢᱩᱱᱟ · ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱣᱟᱱᱴᱟᱭᱤᱞ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱪᱟᱨᱴ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱛᱮ ᱢᱟᱣᱩᱥ ᱥᱟᱦᱮᱫ ᱯᱮ
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • ᱢᱤᱰᱤᱭᱟᱱ −$500
  • p75 +$40
  • p90 +$1,480
1,000 ᱥᱮᱥᱚᱱ × 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · y ᱟᱠᱥ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱟᱨᱥᱮᱱᱴᱟᱭᱤᱞ 1–99 ᱦᱟᱹᱵᱤᱡ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ (ᱢᱩᱪᱟᱹᱫ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ −$500 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ +$4,120) · 500 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ · $10 ᱢᱩᱞ · ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ
ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱪᱟᱨᱴ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱦᱟᱹᱱᱤ᱾ ᱜᱟᱨ ᱠᱚ ᱥᱩᱢᱩᱝ ᱟᱨᱦᱚᱸ ᱥᱟᱸᱫᱷᱟ ᱥᱮᱱᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣᱤᱡ

ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱠᱚ

ᱮᱛᱚᱦᱚᱵᱤᱭᱟᱹ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸᱱᱟᱜ ᱵᱮᱥ, ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ?

ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ, ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱮᱴ ᱚᱛᱟ ᱡᱮᱞᱮᱧ ᱚᱠᱛᱚ ᱛᱟᱦᱮᱸᱱᱟ ᱡᱮ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱪᱟᱞᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱰᱚᱞᱟᱨ ᱯᱤᱪᱷᱤ ᱩᱱᱠᱩ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾

ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱠᱚ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱩᱥᱤᱭᱟᱭ?

ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱠᱚ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵ ᱠᱚ ᱠᱩᱥᱤᱭᱟᱭ᱾ ᱞᱚᱜᱚᱱ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱮ ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱞᱚᱜᱚᱱ ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱠᱚ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ ᱡᱚᱨ ᱠᱚ ᱮᱢᱟ᱾

ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱪᱤᱯ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ?

ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱟᱨᱚᱬ ᱛᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱟᱯᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱵᱷᱤᱛᱤᱨ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱟᱞᱟᱜ ᱟᱞᱟᱜ ᱧᱮᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾

ᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱨᱟᱹᱥᱠᱟᱹ

ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱯᱩᱭᱞᱩ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱛᱮ ᱠᱩᱨᱩᱢᱩᱴᱩ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱫᱷᱟᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱩᱠᱩ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ; ᱛᱮᱭᱟᱨ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱡᱷᱤᱡᱽ ᱯᱮ᱾

  1. ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱟᱨᱟᱜᱵᱟᱡᱤᱟᱨᱟᱜ18 ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱨᱩᱡᱽ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ $10 ᱟᱨ 17 ᱨᱮ $1 ᱯᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭᱟ, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮᱵᱟᱡᱤᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ18 ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱱᱣᱟᱨ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱞᱤᱥᱴᱤ ᱯᱮ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱠᱷᱚᱨᱚᱪ ᱪᱮᱫ᱾ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱨᱮ $10 ᱟᱨ ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ ᱨᱮ $10 ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱠᱚᱨᱟᱣ ᱯᱮ᱾

    ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱫᱷᱟᱱ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ

    ᱛᱮᱞᱟ ᱟᱨᱟᱜ: +$9᱾ 17: +$25᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱮᱞ: −$11᱾ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱛᱮ −$11/37, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱱ 30¢, ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱫᱚ $11 ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70%᱾ ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱟᱨ ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ ᱥᱟᱶᱛᱮ ᱡᱤᱨᱚᱪᱟᱠᱟᱡᱤᱨᱚᱢᱤᱫᱜᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱨᱭᱟᱹᱲ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱠᱚᱵᱷᱟᱨᱟ; ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱩᱞ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, 0᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮ $20 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱝᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱵᱟᱝ: −$20/37, $20 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70%᱾

    ᱟᱨᱟᱜ 37 ᱨᱮ 18 ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱩᱪᱟᱹᱲᱚᱜ-ᱟ: $10 ᱫᱚ $10 ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ 17 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ $1 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ, +$9᱾ 17 ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱩᱪᱟᱹᱲᱚᱜ-ᱟ: ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ $10 ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ $1 ᱫᱚ $35 ᱡᱤᱛᱟᱹᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ, +$25᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ 17 ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱛᱮ 18 ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟᱥᱟᱡ ᱥᱟᱢᱟᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟᱨᱚᱴᱚᱨ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 37 ᱮᱞ ᱚᱞ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱥᱞᱚᱴ, ᱠᱟᱯ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →: ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱦᱟᱨᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ, −$11᱾

    ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ: (18 × 9 + 25 − 18 × 11)/37 = (162 + 25 − 198)/37 = −11/37᱾

    ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱢᱮᱥᱟ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱟᱡᱟᱜ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱮ ᱫᱚᱦᱚᱭᱟ: ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱨᱮ $10 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱟᱣᱥᱚᱛ ᱠᱷᱚᱨᱚᱪ 10/37, 17 ᱨᱮ $1 ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 1/37, ᱟᱨ ᱥᱟᱶᱛᱮ 11/37᱾ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱢᱮᱥᱟ ᱛᱮ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱚᱠᱟ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱯᱟᱥᱱᱟᱣᱚᱜ-ᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞᱚᱜ-ᱟ, ᱠᱷᱚᱨᱚᱪ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾ ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱟᱨ ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ ᱥᱟᱶᱛᱮ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱵᱟᱹᱜᱤ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱵᱟᱨᱟᱵᱟᱨ ᱠᱤᱱ ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ 2.70% ᱠᱤᱱ ᱮᱢᱟ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱨᱮ᱾ ᱦᱩᱱᱟᱪᱮᱠ (Hunacek, 2025) ᱚᱱᱟ ᱜᱮ ᱮᱠᱥᱚᱨᱥᱟᱭᱤᱡᱽ ᱠᱚ ᱰᱚᱵᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱮ ᱮᱢ ᱟᱠᱟᱫᱟ, ᱚᱱᱰᱮ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱫᱚ 5.26%᱾

ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ

ᱵᱮᱜᱚᱨ ᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ᱾

ᱵᱮᱜᱚᱨ ᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ᱾

ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. ᱪᱟᱯᱴᱟᱨ 13, ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ᱾
  2. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱥᱴᱨᱮᱴ ᱚᱯ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱟᱨᱟᱜ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ ᱵᱟᱡᱤᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱣᱮᱨᱤᱭᱮᱱᱥ
2026-09-28 ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱸᱪ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟᱢᱚᱰᱮᱞ: ᱭᱩᱨᱚᱯᱤᱭᱟᱱ, ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵ ᱦᱚᱨᱟ ↗ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ ↗