ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱟᱡ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱢᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱤᱪᱷᱩ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱠᱚ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱮ ᱞᱚᱦᱚᱫ ᱮᱫᱟ: ᱞᱟᱹᱡᱩᱜ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱴ, ᱵᱟᱝ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱨᱚᱴᱚᱨ, ᱠᱷᱟᱭᱟ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱵᱮᱵᱷᱟᱨ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱦᱩᱭ ᱟᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱢᱩᱥᱠᱤᱞ ᱫᱚ ᱱᱚᱣᱟ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱡᱟᱣᱜᱮ “ᱜᱚᱨᱚᱢ ᱮᱞ” ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ, ᱚᱱᱟᱛᱮ ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱫᱚ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱮᱞ ᱜᱚᱨᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱟᱝ, ᱢᱮᱱᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱵᱷᱟᱹᱜᱭᱚ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱮᱠᱷᱮᱨ ᱥᱮ ᱵᱟᱝ᱾
1. ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱱᱢᱩᱱᱟ
ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱵᱟᱹᱱᱩᱜ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱥᱤᱢᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱠᱚ᱾ ᱱᱢᱩᱱᱟ ᱢᱟᱯ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞ ᱯᱮ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱜᱚᱨᱚᱢ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱧᱮᱞ ᱯᱮ᱾
2. ᱧᱮᱞ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱟᱨ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ
ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱛᱟᱹᱞᱤᱠᱟᱹ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱰᱮᱥ ᱫᱟᱜ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱞᱮᱠᱷᱟ, n/37 ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱪᱷᱟᱭᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱴᱤ ᱫᱚ ±2 ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱰᱤᱵᱷᱤᱭᱮᱥᱚᱱ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ: ᱢᱤᱫ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱟᱦᱟ ᱵᱤᱥᱤ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱵᱷᱟᱹᱜᱭᱚ ᱛᱮ ᱜᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱟᱦᱨᱮ ᱥᱮᱱᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾
3. ᱠᱟᱭ-ᱥᱠᱣᱮᱭᱟᱨ ᱯᱚᱨᱚᱠᱷ
ᱯᱚᱨᱚᱠᱷ ᱫᱚ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱥᱟᱸᱠᱷᱟ ᱢᱮᱱᱟᱜ-ᱟ, ᱵᱚᱨᱜᱚ ᱟᱨ ᱥᱠᱮᱞ ᱠᱟᱛᱮ, ᱡᱚᱲᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱚᱲᱟᱣ ᱫᱚ 36 ᱥᱟᱫᱷᱤᱱᱛᱟ ᱰᱤᱜᱽᱨᱤ ᱥᱟᱶ ᱠᱟᱭ-ᱥᱠᱣᱮᱭᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱸᱴᱟᱣ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱪᱟᱞᱟᱜ-ᱟ; 0.05 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱚᱢ p ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱫᱚ ᱱᱤᱭᱚᱢ ᱞᱮᱠᱟᱛᱮ ᱥᱴᱮᱴᱤᱥᱴᱤᱠᱟᱞ ᱜᱚᱱᱚᱝ ᱢᱮᱱᱛᱮ ᱠᱚ ᱨᱚᱲᱟ᱾
n = 370 · E = 10.00 · χ² = 32.80 · p = 0.622
4. ᱟᱯᱮ ᱛᱤᱱᱟᱹᱜ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ
ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ 1/37 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱮᱥᱤ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱫᱷᱟᱨᱮ 5% ᱛᱷᱟᱨ ᱟᱨ 80% ᱫᱟᱲᱮ ᱥᱟᱶ᱾ 37 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱵᱚᱫᱚᱞ 35 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱠᱷᱮᱞᱚᱸᱰ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱮᱴᱮᱡ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ, ᱟᱨ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱯᱚᱠᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱦᱟᱡᱟᱨ ᱚᱞ ᱫᱚᱦᱚ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ᱾
ᱦᱤᱥᱟᱹᱵ ᱦᱚᱨᱟ
ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ
ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱪᱟᱠᱟ ᱦᱚᱸ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱧᱤᱫᱟᱹ ᱜᱚᱨᱚᱢ ᱮᱞ ᱵᱮᱱᱟᱣ ᱮᱫᱟ᱾ ᱵᱟᱭᱟᱥ ᱯᱚᱨᱢᱟᱱ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱫᱚ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱦᱟᱡᱟᱨ ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱞᱟᱹᱠᱛᱤᱭᱟ᱾
ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ
- Pearson, K. (1900). On the criterion that a given system of deviations… Philosophical Magazine, 50(302).
- Thorp, E. O. (1969). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. Review of the International Statistical Institute, 37(3).
- Ethier, S. N. (2010). The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer. Ch. 13, Roulette.