ᱚᱰᱥ
ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟᱢᱤᱫ ᱨᱮᱡᱟᱞᱴ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ, 0 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 1 ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ 0% ᱠᱷᱚᱱ 100%᱾ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱮᱞ: 1/37 = 2.70%᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ →, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ ᱟᱨ ᱟᱸᱫᱟᱡᱽ ᱵᱟᱵᱚᱫ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ, ᱜᱮᱞ ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱡᱟᱣᱨᱟ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱦᱟᱛᱟᱣ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ᱾ ᱛᱮᱞᱟ ᱮᱢ ᱯᱮ, ᱱᱚᱢᱵᱚᱨ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱯᱮ, ᱟᱨ ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱵᱷᱩᱞ ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱵᱩᱡᱷᱟᱹᱣ ᱥᱟᱦᱴᱟ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱯᱮ᱾
ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱞᱟᱜᱟᱣ ᱞᱟᱦᱟ ᱨᱮ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱵᱟᱰᱟᱭ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱯᱮ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱯᱚᱨᱚᱠᱷ ᱯᱮ᱾ ᱜᱮᱞ ᱜᱟᱱ ᱵᱟᱪᱷᱟᱣ ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ, ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱡᱚᱠᱷᱟᱡ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ᱾ 8 ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱵᱟᱹᱲᱛᱤ ᱱᱚᱢᱵᱚᱨ ᱧᱟᱢ ᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱯᱚᱛᱚᱵ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱵᱟᱹᱲᱛᱤ ᱵᱟᱰᱟᱭ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱯᱮ; 5 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱠᱷᱟᱱ ᱥᱮᱬᱟ ᱥᱮᱠᱥᱚᱱ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱟᱹᱰᱤ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱥᱮᱧᱟ ᱠᱟᱴᱟᱣ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱯᱮ᱾
ᱱᱚᱢᱵᱚᱨ
10: ᱟᱯᱮ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱥᱟᱭᱤᱴ ᱚᱞ ᱫᱟᱲᱮᱭᱟᱜ-ᱟ ᱯᱮ᱾
8–9: ᱴᱮᱵᱩᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱦᱚᱲ ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱟᱯᱮ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱵᱮᱥ ᱵᱩᱡᱷᱟᱹᱣ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ ᱯᱮ᱾
5–7: ᱵᱮᱥ; ᱜᱚᱱᱤᱛ ᱥᱮᱠᱥᱚᱱ ᱫᱚ ᱠᱷᱟᱹᱞᱤ ᱡᱟᱭᱜᱟ ᱯᱮᱨᱮᱡ ᱮᱫᱟᱭ᱾
5 ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱠᱚᱢ: ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱠᱷᱮᱞ ᱦᱩᱭᱩᱜ-ᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱨᱩᱞᱮᱴ ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱᱴᱟᱠᱟᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱᱡᱤᱛ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱪᱮᱫ ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲᱟ, ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱪᱮᱛᱟᱱ “X ᱨᱮ 1” ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱨᱚᱲᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱠᱷᱚᱱ ᱮᱛᱚᱦᱚᱵ ᱯᱮ, ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱨᱩᱣᱟᱹᱲ ᱦᱤᱡᱩᱜ ᱯᱮ᱾
ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱵᱷᱩᱞ ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱫᱚ “37 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱨᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱥᱮ ᱠᱚᱢ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱦᱤᱴ” (ᱦᱚᱲ ᱠᱚ “100%” ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ “ᱢᱚᱴᱮ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ 50%” ᱢᱮᱱ ᱠᱚᱣᱟ) ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱᱵᱟᱡᱤᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ1–12, 13–24 ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ 25–36, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 2:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ (ᱦᱚᱲ ᱠᱚ “ᱯᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ ᱨᱮ ᱵᱟᱨ ᱦᱟᱹᱴᱤᱧ” ᱢᱮᱱ ᱠᱚᱣᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱡᱤᱨᱚᱪᱟᱠᱟᱡᱤᱨᱚᱢᱤᱫᱜᱮ ᱦᱟᱹᱨᱭᱟᱹᱲ ᱠᱷᱟᱱᱟ ᱡᱟᱦᱟᱸ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ, ᱰᱚᱡᱮᱱ ᱟᱨᱵᱟᱝ ᱠᱚᱞᱚᱢ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱵᱟᱭ ᱠᱚᱵᱷᱟᱨᱟ; ᱠᱮᱥᱤᱱᱳ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱢᱩᱞ᱾ ᱮᱴᱟᱜ ᱧᱩᱛᱩᱢ: ᱥᱤᱝᱜᱚᱞ ᱡᱤᱨᱚ, 0᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱵᱤᱥᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱠᱚᱣᱟ)᱾
ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱛᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱠᱩᱭᱤᱡᱽ
ᱫᱟᱨᱟᱭ ᱥᱟᱦᱴᱟ ᱨᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱤᱛᱤᱦᱟᱹᱥ ᱠᱩᱭᱤᱡᱽ ᱫᱚ ᱯᱟᱥᱠᱟᱞ, ᱵᱞᱟᱸ, ᱡᱮᱜᱟᱨ ᱟᱨ 26 ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮᱵᱟᱡᱤᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ18 ᱦᱮᱸᱫᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱥᱚᱢᱟᱱ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾ ᱯᱷᱨᱮᱧᱪ ᱨᱮ: ᱱᱣᱟᱨ᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱵᱟᱵᱚᱫ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱵᱟᱹᱲᱛᱤ ᱟᱞᱜᱟ ᱟᱨ ᱵᱟᱹᱲᱛᱤ ᱨᱟᱹᱥᱠᱟᱹ, ᱟᱨ ᱚᱱᱟ ᱫᱚ ᱟᱯᱮᱭᱟᱜ ᱴᱟᱠᱟ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱵᱟᱧᱪᱟᱣᱟ᱾
ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱠᱚ
ᱪᱮᱫᱟᱜ ᱥᱮ 37 ᱨᱮ 1 ᱥᱚᱢᱵᱷᱟᱵᱱᱟ ᱥᱟᱶ 37 ᱫᱷᱟᱣ ᱦᱚᱨ ᱫᱚ ᱴᱷᱤᱠ ᱞᱮᱠᱟ ᱟᱹᱭᱟᱹᱨᱚᱜ-ᱟ᱾ ᱱᱚᱶᱟ ᱫᱚ 63.7% ᱜᱮ, ᱟᱨ 37 ᱜᱷᱩᱨᱟᱹᱣ ᱛᱟᱭᱚᱢ ᱯᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱝ ᱩᱫᱩᱜ ᱠᱟᱱᱟ᱾
ᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨᱵᱟᱡᱤᱠᱚᱨᱱᱟᱨᱞᱮᱭᱟᱣᱴ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱬᱟ ᱥᱟᱡᱷᱟ ᱟᱠᱟᱱ ᱯᱩᱱ ᱮᱞ, ᱵᱷᱩᱜᱛᱟᱱ 8:1᱾ᱯᱩᱨᱟᱹ ᱯᱟᱲᱦᱟᱣ → ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ ᱟᱨ ᱟᱞᱟᱜ ᱵᱟᱪᱷᱟᱣ ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ ᱵᱟᱨᱭᱟ ᱥᱟᱶ: ᱡᱚᱛᱚ ᱥᱴᱮᱱᱰᱟᱨᱰ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ ᱨᱮ ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱟᱲᱛᱤ, ᱢᱤᱫ ᱜᱮ ᱵᱟᱹᱲᱛᱤ: ᱟᱢᱮᱨᱤᱠᱟᱱ ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱮᱞ ᱵᱟᱡᱤ᱾
ᱞᱟᱸᱫᱟ ᱞᱟᱹᱜᱤᱫ ᱠᱚᱢᱤᱠ
ᱜᱮᱞ ᱢᱚᱬᱮ ᱠᱩᱠᱞᱤ᱾ ᱡᱟᱹᱥᱛᱤ ᱛᱮᱞᱟ ᱫᱚ 2.70%᱾
ᱯᱷᱮᱰᱟᱛ
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.